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Forward and Futures Market
Forward market
Example - Importer in India and bought goods from USA , i have to pay in dollars , say 1$=70, So On 1st April i have to pay , the inflation fluctuation will be there , if it goes down it will be my benefit . I bought i good it will be rs.700000 but if its appreciating it will not good for us so i will hedge by coming into forward market.
So Bank will give me different rate there will be a contract between bank and the importer binding on both parties at future date . This will be OTC Offline Over The Counter . Now whatever the rate will be you don’t have to worry , this is forward market to reduce the loss.
Definition - Forward is a contract where one party(importer )commits to buy and the other party to sell a specified quantity of an agreed upon asset for a pre determined price at a specific date in the future .
It is customised contract , Terms that a contract are agreed upon individual parties. Hence it is traded OTC.
Futures
Definition -are standardised contract where lot size is fixed by Organised Exchange .
Standardisation can be on quantity , quality , delivery dates , procedure , price quotes
You can take 2 positions ie long (buy) and short (sell).
Types of Futures Contracts -
1. future - Dealing with shares
2. Commodity futures
Terminologies associated with Futures -
Transaction date - the day at which the contract held
Settlement date - expiry date Ready contract - Jan contract is ready contract
Basis - Future price will be more as the cost will be more . Difference between Spot price of asset and future price is basis
Cost of carry - Reason why there is basis , difference .It is nothing but interest rate.
**Spot Price + cost of carry = futures
Long FC - Buy
Short FC- Sell
Cost to Carry model of future pricing
Cost to carry means costs associated with the carrying value of an investment . These costs can include financial costs , such as the interest cost on bonds, interest expenses on margin accounts , interest on loans used to make an investment , and any storage costs involved in holding a physical asset.
Cost of carry may include opportunity costs associated with taking one position over another . In the derivative market , cost of carry is an important factor for consideration when generating values associated with an asset's future price.
We have to consider below while generating the value associated with futures.
Infosys 1418 was spot price + IC + IE . Interest Cost , Interest Expense .
Example - if 10gm Gold in spot market 30000
Locker rent - 300
Insurance -150
Interest Rate - 10%
Compute FMV of 3 months future .
Answer ---> Future price would be more than 30000. Locker rent is storage rate. Interest Rate will be on total cost.
30000+300+150=30450+761.25 (30450*10%*3/12)=31211.25
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